The Next 200 Years: A Scenario For America And ... -

Sees disaster as a likely outcome unless major changes occur.

Kahn's specific (like fusion or space colonies). How his scenarios have held up since 1976. The next 200 years: a scenario for America and ...

In their 1976 work, , Herman Kahn and his colleagues at the Hudson Institute present a bold, optimistic vision of human progress that stands in direct opposition to the "limits to growth" pessimism of the era. The book argues that humanity is in the midst of a "Great Transition" from a state of poverty and vulnerability to nature toward a future of universal affluence and mastery over the physical world. The Core Thesis: The Great Transition Sees disaster as a likely outcome unless major changes occur

He suggests that rather than an inevitable collapse, the world is moving toward a post-industrial society where economic growth eventually plateaus at a high level of comfort and leisure. Refuting Neo-Malthusianism In their 1976 work, , Herman Kahn and

Kahn suggests that massive projects, like efficiently farming the Ganges basin or greenhouse farming in the Sahara, could produce enough food for 15 billion people. The Four Perspectives on the Future